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Debt or investing

Paying down a debt earns a guaranteed return equal to its interest rate. Investing might do better, or might not.

4 minutesYou'll need: A balance, its interest rate, and the minimum paymentNothing you type leaves your browser

Working sketchINPUT → RESULT
Debt payoff and hypothetical investment paths meet at a break-even return.

Start here: replace the example figures with yours, read the main result, then change one number at a time to see what matters most.

$1,350
7.0%
Adjust assumptions
15 years

Both of these are shared with the other calculators, so a change here shows up there too. Each path pays the $130 minimum on Credit card either way.

Clearing the debt, on your assumptions

At the 7.0% return you assumed, clearing the debt first ends $19,686 ahead over 15 years.
Clearing the debt winsthey tie at 22.9% a yearInvesting wins

The brass mark is the return you assumed. Move the return slider and watch it cross.

Clear the debt, then investInvest from the start

Net worth over 15 years on two paths. Clearing Credit card first ends at $458,437; investing from the start ends at $438,751. One path leads for the whole period.

Debt first ends at
$458,437debt gone in 5 mo
Investing first ends at
$438,751debt gone in 13 yr 8 mo
Difference
$19,686in favor of clearing the debt

What changes the answer

Two numbers decide this, and one of them is certain. Clearing Credit card earns you exactly its 22.9% — not on average, not most years, exactly. The return on investing is a guess.

The two tie at 22.9% a year. You've assumed 7.0%, which sits below it — so this answer holds only for as long as that assumption does. Anything less than 22.9% and clearing the debt comes out ahead. That gap is the risk you're actually being asked to take.

These calculators are educational estimates based on the numbers and assumptions you enter. Real results vary, and projections are not guarantees. Nothing here is personalized investment, tax, or legal advice.

See the assumptions behind this estimate

What the calculator assumes

  • Both paths spend exactly the same amount every month, so the comparison is like for like.
  • The spare amount starts with take-home income after listed living costs and every active debt minimum; entering a different amount here is a deliberate override.
  • Once the debt clears, the payment that was servicing it is redirected into investing — on both paths.
  • Investment growth compounds monthly, at the annual rate you set divided by twelve.
  • The debt's rate is treated as fixed for the whole horizon.

What it leaves out

  • Returns are assumed to be steady. Real markets are not, and a bad first decade changes this picture considerably.
  • Tax is not modeled — not on investment growth, and not on any deduction the debt's interest might attract.
  • Employer matching, fees, and inflation are not modeled either. A match is usually the strongest argument for investing first, and it isn't in these numbers.
  • Nothing here accounts for how you'd feel in a bad year, which is often the deciding factor.
Save this set of numbers

Give these figures a name and you can come back to them, or set up a second version to compare against. One saved set covers every calculator here, and all of it stays in this browser.

An estimate is a starting point. Test the assumption doing the most work, then take the next question in order.

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